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VREXVarex Imaging CorporationSell5.2·$18.45
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Varex Imaging offers a statistically high-asymmetry setup (4.46 ratio, 47.6% modeled upside) riding a strong earnings beat streak, but a death-cross hard block, a quality score below the engine's floor, and thinly covered analyst sentiment keep the setup speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • High Asymmetry Earnings Catalyst Setup→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor On Cash Burn→Stable
  • Death Cross Hard Block Despite Recovery Signs→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 18, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Varex Imaging Corporation (VREX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality.

Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software — sold to OEM customers through its Medical and Industrial segments, with about 2,400 employees across North... Read more

$18.45-12.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#49 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-5.04%
Stop $18.35Analyst target $16.06(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$18.90+2.4%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Varex Imaging Corporation

About Varex Imaging Corporation

Varex Imaging's largest customer, Canon Medical Systems, accounted for 18% of fiscal 2025 revenue, while its ten largest customers together made up roughly 52%. The company employs approximately 2,400 people across manufacturing and engineering sites in North America, Europe, and Asia, split between Medical and Industrial segments that design, build, and service X-ray tubes, detectors, and imaging systems.

Varex sells X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software primarily to OEM customers that design the components into medical, security, and industrial inspection systems, then depends on replacement and service revenue as tubes and detectors wear out — CT tubes typically every 2 to 6 years, and as often as every 10 to 20 months in China given high equipment utilization. The company competes against in-house X-ray tube production at major diagnostic imaging companies such as Canon and Philips Healthcare, as well as against detector makers including Trixell, Vieworks, Hamamatsu, and iRay Technology. Manufacturing spans eight countries, including the United States, Germany, and the Philippines, with certain components — transistor arrays and cesium iodide coatings for digital detectors, and specialized X-ray tube targets among them — sourced from a limited group of suppliers or a single source. Revenue from customers outside the United States made up 70% of total fiscal 2025 revenue.

Show full overview

Varex's China exposure illustrates a risk distinct from customer concentration: medical X-ray tubes imported into China made up 10% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, and in April 2025 China's Ministry of Commerce opened MOFCOM investigations into US-origin CT X-ray tubes and tube inserts, before suspending both indefinitely in November 2025. Should the investigations resume and result in new tariffs, Varex has cautioned that its export prices to China may no longer compete with local manufacturers. The company also holds joint-venture stakes — including a 40% interest in dpiX, its amorphous-silicon detector-array supplier, and a 75% stake in Varex Imaging Arabia — that have drawn shareholder disputes and litigation in Germany since 2023.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Varex Imaging Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Varex Imaging Corporation

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.9% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -81.6%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap)…

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.8
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$783M
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE4.6%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV107%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.4
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-37.5%)
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.33%=HEAVYNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.35Resistance $18.50

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.9%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -81.6%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap)…

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VREX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $18.35. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VREX stock price target?

Analyst target $16.06 reached (−12.9% from $18.45); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $18.35. Stop-loss: $18.35.

What are the risks of investing in VREX?

Target reached (-12.9% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (4/5): Margin compression (op margin -81.6%), High leverage (D/E 1.7), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.03% of cap)….

Is VREX overvalued or undervalued?

Varex Imaging Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.8 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VREX?

8 analysts cover VREX with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Varex Imaging Corporation do?Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting...

Varex Imaging designs and manufactures X-ray imaging components — X-ray tubes, flat panel and photon-counting detectors, linear accelerators, and imaging software — sold to OEM customers through its Medical and Industrial segments, with about 2,400 employees across North America, Europe, and Asia. The company's largest customer, Canon Medical Systems, accounted for 18% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and its ten largest customers together made up roughly 52%. Long design-in relationships with OEMs, some spanning over 35 years, create switching costs that favor Varex's incumbency in replacement compone

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