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VRDNViridian Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.3·$16.37+4.07%
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Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. (VRDN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.37: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality.

Viridian Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing veligrotug (IV IGF-1R, BLA under Priority Review with PDUFA June 30, 2026) and elegrobart (SC IGF-1R, Phase 3 REVEAL-1/2 results expected Q1/Q2 2026) for thyroid eye disease, plus FcRn inhibitors... Read more

$16.37+85.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#54 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-10.51%
Stop $15.32Target $30.54(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 8.0:1
Analyst target$33.94+107.3%16 analysts
$30.54our TP
$16.37price
$33.94mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.37: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA-2.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-58.1%
Rev Growth95.8%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV153%elevated
Max Pain$7-57.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -257% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.8
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Volatile — 5.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Put Call
1.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
3.3
Days To Cover
6.1
Beta
7.6
Elevated put/call: 1.71High IV: 153%Above max pain $7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
8.1
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5INSIDER 1.15%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 8.0 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.57Resistance $18.20

Price Targets

$15
$31
A.Upside+86.6%
A.R:R8.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 1.15%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRDN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.37: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 8.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.32. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VRDN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.54 (+85.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.32. Stop-loss: $15.32.

What are the risks of investing in VRDN?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is VRDN overvalued or undervalued?

Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VRDN?

23 analysts cover VRDN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Viridian Therapeutics, Inc. do?Viridian Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing veligrotug (IV IGF-1R, BLA under...

Viridian Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing veligrotug (IV IGF-1R, BLA under Priority Review with PDUFA June 30, 2026) and elegrobart (SC IGF-1R, Phase 3 REVEAL-1/2 results expected Q1/Q2 2026) for thyroid eye disease, plus FcRn inhibitors VRDN-006 and VRDN-008 for autoimmune disorders. No products approved; $874.7M cash as of December 31, 2025.

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