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VORVor Biopharma Inc.Sell5.2·$20.31+1.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Vor Biopharma screens as a high-asymmetry, momentum-recovering speculative biotech (4.0 asymmetry ratio, 60% modeled upside) but carries a quality score far below the engine's floor, an EXTREME insider-selling gate failure, and a 69% drawdown that keep the setup firmly in binary-catalyst territory.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Cash BurningStable
  • High Asymmetry Analyst UpsideStable
  • Extreme Insider Selling Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Vor Biopharma Inc. (VOR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

Vor Bio is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing telitacicept, a fusion-protein therapy licensed from RemeGen in June 2025 outside Greater China, running global Phase 3 trials in myasthenia gravis and Sjogren's disease. Pre-revenue, Vor Bio paid RemeGen a $125... Read more

$20.31+62.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#139 of 255 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-17.34%
Stop $18.89Target $32.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$37.88+86.5%8 analysts
$32.95our TP
$20.31price
$37.88mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Vor Biopharma Inc.

About Vor Biopharma Inc.

Vor Bio's lead and only clinical asset, telitacicept, is already approved in China for systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, and generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG), and the FDA granted the therapy Fast Track Designation for Sjogren's disease (SjD) in March 2024 after clearing the IND in January 2024. The company is now running global Phase 3 trials in gMG and SjD across the United States, Europe, South America, and Asia, with SjD's first patient dosed in March 2026.

Vor Bio generates no product revenue; it in-licensed telitacicept from RemeGen in June 2025 for all territories outside Greater China, paying a $125 million upfront fee -- $45 million in cash plus an $80 million warrant -- and owes RemeGen up to $330 million in regulatory milestones, up to $3.775 billion in sales milestones, and tiered royalties ranging from high single-digit to mid-teen percentages of net sales. Vor Bio is responsible for development, regulatory, and commercialization costs in its licensed territory, while RemeGen retains rights and continues its own trials in Greater China. The company relies on third-party contract manufacturers for clinical supply of telitacicept and does not yet have long-term manufacturing agreements in place. In the crowded autoimmune-disease field, Vor Bio competes against fusion-protein and biologic developers including Amgen and argenx, among others already marketed or in development.

Show full overview

Vor Bio's valuation rests on a single asset: the 10-K states plainly that the company is substantially dependent on telitacicept's success, with no other clinical or commercial program to fall back on. That dependence is compounded by a data-control gap: Vor Bio's Phase 3 program partly relies on trial data RemeGen generates and controls in China, and Vor Bio has no authority over those trials or their reporting to Chinese regulators, leaving U.S. and European outcomes partly dependent on a partner's execution. The company's September 2025 1-for-20 reverse stock split, disclosed alongside $455.2 million in cash meant to fund operations into early 2029, underscores the execution risk already priced in ahead of the SjD and gMG Phase 3 readouts.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Vor Biopharma Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Vor Biopharma Inc.

Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:53Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 14, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: telitacicept
Concentration risk — Counterparty: RemeGen
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.4
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-1.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinetelitacicept
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on the success of our lead product candidate, telitacicept.'
  • HIGHcounterpartyRemeGen
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have no control over the conduct and timing of, ... the trials that RemeGen is conducting for telitacicept.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
2.0
Gap
6.0

Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Days To Cover
3.1
Short Interest
3.4
Beta
4.4
Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesINSIDER 2.47%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.58Resistance $22.22

Price Targets

$19
$33
A.Upside+62.2%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Insider activity: 2.47%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.31: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $18.89. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.95 (+62.2% upside). Prior stop was $18.89. Stop-loss: $18.89.

What are the risks of investing in VOR?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: telitacicept; Concentration risk — Counterparty: RemeGen; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is VOR overvalued or undervalued?

Vor Biopharma Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VOR?

13 analysts cover VOR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Vor Biopharma Inc. do?Vor Bio is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing telitacicept, a fusion-protein therapy licensed from...

Vor Bio is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing telitacicept, a fusion-protein therapy licensed from RemeGen in June 2025 outside Greater China, running global Phase 3 trials in myasthenia gravis and Sjogren's disease. Pre-revenue, Vor Bio paid RemeGen a $125 million upfront fee and owes milestone and royalty payments on future sales. Telitacicept is approved in China for lupus, rheumatoid arthritis, and myasthenia gravis.

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