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VNOMViper Energy, Inc.Hold5.4·$45.50-1.22%
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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin.

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper... Read more

$45.50+16.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#29 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-6.33%
IncomeYield5.02%(5y avg 5.74%)Payout97.12%at-risk
Stop $43.34Target $52.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$58.17+27.8%18 analysts
$52.35our TP
$45.50price
$58.17mean
$65

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas
Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$16.5B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE-1.8%
Rev Growth109.1%
Beta0.21
Dividend5.02%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin of West Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'The producing properties in which we have mineral and royalty interests are currently geographically primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas'
  • HIGHGeographicWolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'most of our proved reserves are concentrated in the Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of operators
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a small number of operators for a substantial portion of the development and production on our mineral and royalty acreage'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Will Krueger, VP–Legal, promoted to VP, General Counsel and Secretary of Viper Energy effective February 18, 2026. He continues as employee of Diamondback E&P LLC under the Services and Secondment Agreement. Matt Zmigrosky stepped down as EVP, General Counsel. Successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.9
Rsi
8.0
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 30)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
9.3
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.68Resistance $49.45

Price Targets

$43
$52
A.Upside+15.1%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNOM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $52.35 (+15.1%), stop $43.34 (−5.0%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNOM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.35 (+16.0% upside). Target $52.35 (+15.1%), stop $43.34 (−5.0%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $43.34.

What are the risks of investing in VNOM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is VNOM overvalued or undervalued?

Viper Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VNOM?

25 analysts cover VNOM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Viper Energy, Inc. do?Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning...

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper Energy, Inc. in November 2023. Viper Energy, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.

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