Value
5.3/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 3.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.9 |
| PEG | 4.7 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.75
VNOM · Why this verdict
Why Viper Energy (VNOM) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 3.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.8 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 7.3 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -66% of revenue
- ▸Rule of 40: 43 (pass)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 109% YoY
Momentum
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.3 |
| MACD | 1.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 4.3 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.9 |
| Price target | 8.3 |
| erm sentiment | 4.6 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 26%
Insider
4.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $23,305,144 (0.143% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.7 |
| quality rank | 0.2 |
| growth rank | 9.3 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.4 |
| support resistance | 7.1 |
| 52w position | 8.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.9 |
| days to cover | 5.6 |
| volatility | 6.2 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 5.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
- ▸Above max pain $20
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.4 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.73
Upside
+13.7%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5. Top dim: Sentiment at 7.5; weakest: Peer rank at 3.8. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.5, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.1, and Technical at 6.7; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.8, Insider at 4.0, and Growth at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.73 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.