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VNOVornado Realty TrustSell4.9·$38.27-1.80%
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Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. At $38.27, A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (88.0%); Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties (78.0%).

Vornado Realty Trust is a REIT concentrated in New York City, owning 51 Manhattan operating properties (19.2M sqft office, 2.3M sqft street retail), THE MART in Chicago, and 555 California Street in San Francisco. Approximately 88% of 2025 NOI derives from the New York... Read more

$38.27+0.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield15.43%
IncomeYield1.93%(5y avg 4.42%)Payout20.27%
Stop $36.03Target $38.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$33.54-12.4%13 analysts
$38.48our TP
$38.27price
$33.54mean
$25
$45

Sell if holding. At $38.27, A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (88.0%); Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties (78.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Vornado Realty Trust

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Margin of safety: 30%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (88.0%)
Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties (78.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)153.1
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn42.9%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth-2.2%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.93%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan area88%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 88% of our NOI is from properties located in the New York metropolitan area'
  • HIGHPropertyoffice properties78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 78% of our net operating income ("NOI" a non-GAAP measure) is from our office properties'
  • LOWPropertyManhattan retail properties16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 16% of our NOI is from Manhattan retail properties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.02Resistance $39.27

Price Targets

$36
$38
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $38.27, A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (88.0%); Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties (78.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Prior stop was $36.03. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.48 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $36.03. Stop-loss: $36.03.

What are the risks of investing in VNO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (88.0%); Concentration risk — Property Type: office properties (78.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is VNO overvalued or undervalued?

Vornado Realty Trust trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 153.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VNO?

18 analysts cover VNO with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Vornado Realty Trust do?Vornado Realty Trust is a REIT concentrated in New York City, owning 51 Manhattan operating properties (19.2M sqft...

Vornado Realty Trust is a REIT concentrated in New York City, owning 51 Manhattan operating properties (19.2M sqft office, 2.3M sqft street retail), THE MART in Chicago, and 555 California Street in San Francisco. Approximately 88% of 2025 NOI derives from the New York metropolitan area; office properties account for ~78% of NOI. No tenant exceeded 10% of revenues in 2025, 2024, or 2023.

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