Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the VIPS stock price target?

Take-profit $18.14 (+23.9% upside). Target $18.14 (+23.4%), stop $13.88 (−5.9%), A.R:R 4.6:1.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-12

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth.

$14.70+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 18 Internet Retail

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield39.47%

IncomeYield4.29%Payout24.66%sustainable

Stop $13.88Target $18.14(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.6:1

Analyst target$20.16+37.1%21 analysts

$18.14our TP

$14.70price

$20.16mean

$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Positive momentum

Risks

Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.0

P/E (Fwd)5.2

Mkt Cap$6.9B

EV/EBITDA-1.8

Profit Mgn6.8%

ROE17.2%

Rev Growth-2.3%

Beta0.63

Dividend4.29%

Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish

IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.015%1.35

Quality4.115%0.61

Growth2.815%0.42

Momentum7.510%0.75

Sentiment7.510%0.75

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile7.75%0.39

Catalyst6.05%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)5.70

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -2.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

1.9

Earnings Growth

3.8

Declining revenue: -2%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Quality Rank

5.5

Value Rank

8.8

Attractive P/E vs peers

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.5>=5.5A.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

48 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.07Resistance $15.87

Price Targets

$14

$18

A.Upside+23.4%

A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts27

Consensus3.8/5

Avg Target$20

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-20 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VIPS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $18.14 (+23.4%), stop $13.88 (−5.9%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VIPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.14 (+23.9% upside). Target $18.14 (+23.4%), stop $13.88 (−5.9%), A.R:R 4.6:1. Stop-loss: $13.88.

What are the risks of investing in VIPS?

Weak growth.

Is VIPS overvalued or undervalued?

Vipshop Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 7.0 (forward 5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VIPS?

27 analysts cover VIPS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Vipshop Holdings Limited do?Vipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through...

Vipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others segments. It provides womenswear, menswear, sportswear and sporting goods, baby and children products, shoes and bags, skincare and cosmetics, home goods and other lifestyle products, and supermarket and other products. The company also engages in warehousing, retail business, product procurement, and software development and information technology support activities. It provides branded products through its vip.com and vipshop.com online platforms, as well as through retail stores. Vipshop Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.