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USASAmericas Gold and Silver CorporSell5.9·$3.20
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Americas Gold and Silver has delivered 188% year-over-year revenue growth and ranks as an industry growth leader, with analysts pointing to 44% price upside, but consecutive earnings misses over 3 quarters and free cash flow burning at 20% of revenue signal that rapid revenue growth has not yet translated to financial sustainability.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Analyst Upside Catalyst↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Miss Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Americas Gold and Silver Corpor (USAS) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Sector Rotation edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and other by-products. The company was formerly known as... Read more

$3.20+145.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 34 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-7.54%
Stop $2.98Analyst target $7.86(−15% haircut)A.R:R 10.7:1
Analyst consensus$9.25+189.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 13, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 146%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn-26.3%
ROE-27.1%
Rev Growth72.1%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 14 days
GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 10.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.98Resistance $4.53

Price Targets

$3
$8
A.Upside+145.7%
A.R:R10.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-13 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $3.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 24, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $2.98. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USAS stock price target?

Analyst target: $7.86 (+145.7% upside). Prior stop was $2.98. Stop-loss: $2.98.

What are the risks of investing in USAS?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is USAS overvalued or undervalued?

Americas Gold and Silver Corpor trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USAS?

11 analysts cover USAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Americas Gold and Silver Corpor do?Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and...

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and other by-products. The company was formerly known as Americas Silver Corporation and changed its name to Americas Gold and Silver Corporation in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: ELVR (Elevra Lithium Limited - Americ) · NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · IPX (IperionX Limited) · ALOY (REalloys Inc.) · SCZM (Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.)
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