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SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.Sell6.0·$7.50
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Santacruz Silver Mining combines a rock-bottom valuation (PEG 0.06) and high fundamental quality (35% ROE, 9/9 Piotroski) with 81% revenue growth, but a two-quarter earnings-miss streak and a recent news-driven downgrade to a more cautious stance argue for a staged entry rather than an immediate full position.

Thesis pillars

  • News Driven Sentiment Downgrade→Stable
  • Deep Value At Low Peg↑Improving
  • High Quality Fundamentals→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (SCZM) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also... Read more

$7.50+70.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 34 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.53%
Stop $6.98Analyst target $12.75(−15% haircut)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst consensus$15.00+100.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 26, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$697M
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE22.5%
Rev Growth54.8%
Beta2.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.5
Macd
2.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $6.78Resistance $9.18

Price Targets

$7
$13
A.Upside+70.0%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-26 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCZM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $7.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.98. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCZM stock price target?

Analyst target: $12.75 (+70.0% upside). Prior stop was $6.98. Stop-loss: $6.98.

What are the risks of investing in SCZM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is SCZM overvalued or undervalued?

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCZM?

5 analysts cover SCZM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. do?Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development,...

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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