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UNTYUnity Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.1·$57.73
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Unity Bancorp is a cheap, high-margin regional bank (forward P/E 9.1x, 46% margins) in a breakout, but real-estate loans make up 96% of its book and the price is within 2.7% of the analyst target.

Thesis pillars

  • Real Estate Loan Concentration→Stable
  • Attractive Bank Valuation↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Margins And Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unity Bancorp, Inc. (UNTY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (96.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (56.6%).

Unity Bancorp is the holding company for Unity Bank, a New Jersey-chartered community bank operating 22 branches primarily along the Route 22/Route 78 corridors in New Jersey and one county in Pennsylvania. The bank earns the majority of its revenue from net interest income on... Read more

$57.73+3.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#91 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 1.37%)Payout10.78%sustainable
Stop $55.09Analyst target $59.68(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$68.60+18.8%5 analysts
$59.68Analyst target
$57.73price
$68.60mean
$72

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (96.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (56.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Unity Bancorp, Inc.

About Unity Bancorp, Inc.

Unity Bancorp operates Unity Bank's 22 branches concentrated along the Route 22/Route 78 corridors in eight New Jersey counties plus one county in Pennsylvania, extending its reach into the New York City metropolitan area. Commercial real estate loans, including construction loans, totaled $868.9 million and represented 56.6% of the loan portfolio at December 31, 2025, while approximately 96% of all loans carried real estate as collateral. The Bank is primarily regulated by the FDIC and the New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance.

The Company and Bank derive a majority of revenue from net interest income — the spread between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and borrowings — supplemented by noninterest income from treasury, merchant, and wire-transfer fees and premium income on sales of guaranteed SBA 7(a) loan portions into the secondary market. Deposits fund the loan book, with $882.9 million in time deposits comprising 38.0% of total deposits as of December 31, 2025, of which 95.4% mature within one year; uninsured or uncollateralized deposits represented 21.7% of total deposits. On the asset side, the Bank held $34.3 million of SBA loans on its balance sheet, including $5.4 million of higher-risk non-guaranteed portions, and maintained an allowance for credit losses of $32.3 million, equal to 1.27% of the total loan portfolio and 108.40% of nonaccrual loans.

Show full overview

Unity's commercial real estate exposure sits inside regulatory guidance but is trending in the wrong direction relative to its own capital base: CRE loans, including construction, equaled 231.92% of the Bank's risk-based capital at December 31, 2025, versus 235.05% a year earlier, still well under the interagency 300% threshold that triggers heightened supervisory scrutiny under the 2006 CRE Guidance. Combined with a primary trade area confined to New Jersey and one Pennsylvania county rather than a geographically diversified footprint, a downturn concentrated in that regional commercial real estate market — spanning hotel, retail, and office collateral named in the filing — would fall disproportionately on a loan book regulators already flagged as approaching concentration thresholds.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Unity Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 12, 202774d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (96.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (56.6%)
Thin upside margin: 3.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$581M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn46.1%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate-secured loans96%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 96 percent of its loans had real estate as a primary and/or secondary component of collateral.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans57%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, total commercial real estate loans, including construction loans, represented 56.6 percent of our loan portfolio.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNew Jersey and Pennsylvania trade area
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company provides banking and financial services primarily to customers in the New Jersey market and one county in Pennsylvania in which it has branches'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliotime deposits38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company had $882.9 million in time deposits, comprising 38.0% of total deposits'
  • LOWloan_portfoliouninsured or uncollateralized deposits22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'uninsured or uncollateralized deposits represented 21.7% of total deposits'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.05Resistance $59.06

Price Targets

$55
$60
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-12 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNTY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $57.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (96.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (56.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $59.68 (+3.4%), stop $55.09 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNTY stock price target?

Analyst target: $59.68 (+3.4% upside). Analyst target $59.68 (+3.4%), stop $55.09 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $55.09.

What are the risks of investing in UNTY?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-secured loans (96.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (56.6%); Thin upside margin: 3.4%.

Is UNTY overvalued or undervalued?

Unity Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UNTY?

11 analysts cover UNTY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Unity Bancorp, Inc. do?Unity Bancorp is the holding company for Unity Bank, a New Jersey-chartered community bank operating 22 branches...

Unity Bancorp is the holding company for Unity Bank, a New Jersey-chartered community bank operating 22 branches primarily along the Route 22/Route 78 corridors in New Jersey and one county in Pennsylvania. The bank earns the majority of its revenue from net interest income on commercial, SBA, consumer, and residential real estate lending, funded primarily by customer deposits, with commercial real estate loans representing 56.6% of its loan portfolio at year-end 2025.

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