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UNFUnifirst CorporationSell5.2·$257.36
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Unifirst Corporation has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and shows strong Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 with solid technical positioning, but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry of -2.02 and relies heavily on manufacturing operations in Mexico and Nicaragua that introduce material geographic concentration risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration Mexico Nicaragua↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Streak Catalyst Timing→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance Negative Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 29, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unifirst Corporation (UNF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%).

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service... Read more

$257.36-7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#25 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.35%
IncomeYield0.57%(5y avg 0.66%)Payout24.25%sustainable
Stop $239.34Analyst target $238.57(reached)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst consensus$280.67+9.1%3 analysts
$257.36price
$280.67mean
$300

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 6, 202767d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.8
P/E (Fwd)27.6
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta0.61
Dividend0.57%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.73bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomernuclear power plant operator customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant percentage of this segment's revenues are generated from a limited number of nuclear power plant operator customers'
  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants62%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 62% of all garments we placed in service during fiscal 2025 ... manufactured at two of our plants located in San Luis Potosi, Mexico, one plant located in Managua, Nicaragua'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $232.05Resistance $285.00

Price Targets

A.Upside-7.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.3% upside)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-06 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $257.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $239.34. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the UNF stock price target?

Analyst target $238.57 reached (−7.3% from $257.36); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $239.34. Stop-loss: $239.34.

What are the risks of investing in UNF?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is UNF overvalued or undervalued?

Unifirst Corporation trades at a P/E of 42.8 (forward 27.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNF?

12 analysts cover UNF with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $281.

What does Unifirst Corporation do?UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear...

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service contracts of 3-5 years, with approximately 16,000 employees and about 62% of garments manufactured at company-owned plants in Mexico, Nicaragua, and the US.

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