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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. The company offers branded and private label beauty products, including cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products, professional hair products, and salon... Read more

$526.14+9.8% upside
Score 5.1/10Target $577.57Reward/Risk 1.2:1

TrendMatrix rates Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $526.14 with +9.8% upside to the $577.57 price target. Overall score: 5.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.2:1.

Passes 2/4 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.2Qual6.2Grw3.2Mom1.2Sent6.9Ins4.7Peer5.5Tech6.5Risk5.65.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Thin upside margin: 9.8%
- Weak growth
- Negative momentum

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)20.1
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$23.1B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE43.6%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Analysts35
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ULTA stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 5.1/10.

What is the ULTA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $577.57 (+9.8% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $484.34.

What are the risks of investing in ULTA?

Thin upside margin: 9.8%; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is ULTA overvalued or undervalued?

Ulta Beauty, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ULTA?

35 analysts cover ULTA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $680.

What does Ulta Beauty, Inc. do?Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. The company offers...

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. The company offers branded and private label beauty products, including cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products, professional hair products, and salon styling tools through its Ulta Beauty stores, shop-in-shops, Ulta.com website, and its mobile applications. It also provides beauty services, including hair, makeup, brow, and skin services at its stores. The company was formerly known as ULTA Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. and changed its name to Ulta Beauty, Inc. in January 2017. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

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20 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $499.32Res $702.53

Price Targets

$484
$578
Upside+9.8%
Reward/Risk1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:1.2<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:1.9<2.0
Suitability: Moderate
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 1.2<5.0
Risk/Reward 1.9<2.0