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TRINTrinity Capital Inc.Hold6.2·$16.96+0.36%
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Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Trinity Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in term loans, equipment financing, and private equity-related investments. The firm provides tech lending, equipment financing, life sciences, warehouse lending, and sponsor finance sources. The firm is... Read more

$16.96-0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#22 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.69%
IncomeYield12.08%(5y avg 12.60%)Payout116.93%at-risk
Stop $16.27Target $16.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$17.92+5.6%9 analysts
$16.83our TP
$16.96price
$17.92mean
$15
$19

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 40%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn46.1%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth32.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend12.08%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.28Resistance $17.17

Price Targets

$16
$17
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRIN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $16.83 (-0.8%), stop $16.27 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.83 (-0.4% upside). Target $16.83 (-0.8%), stop $16.27 (−4.2%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $16.27.

What are the risks of investing in TRIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is TRIN overvalued or undervalued?

Trinity Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TRIN?

16 analysts cover TRIN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Trinity Capital Inc. do?Trinity Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in term loans, equipment financing, and private...

Trinity Capital Inc. is a business development company specializing in term loans, equipment financing, and private equity-related investments. The firm provides tech lending, equipment financing, life sciences, warehouse lending, and sponsor finance sources. The firm is industry agnostic and invests in growth-stage companies across industries, including aerospace, software, Agricultural Equipment, Alternative Protein, Clean Technology, Energy, Food and Beverage / CPG, Information Technology, Life Sciences, Oil and Gas, Robotics, Semiconductors, Transportation, and consumer and retail. They provide investors with stable and consistent returns through access to the private credit market. Trinity Capital Inc. was founded in 2008 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona, with additional offices in Solana Beach, California and San Diego, California.

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