Teekay is a high-quality midstream business (27% ROE, 16% margins, wide moat, 44% growth) priced cheaply on PEG, but earnings are expected to fall about 79% from a cycle peak, insiders are selling, and momentum is weak.
Thesis pillars
- High Quality Returns→Stable
- Strong Growth Cheap Peg↓Deteriorating
- Expected Earnings Decline↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026
Teekay Corporation Ltd. (TK) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
Wait for pullback to $14.07. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.63. Engine's entry $14.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~79% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tankers and Marine Services. It owns and operates crude oil and refined product tankers. The company also offers ship-to-ship support... Read more
Wait for pullback to $14.07. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.63. Engine's entry $14.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~79% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.14, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Teekay Corporation Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Teekay (NYSE:TK) Shares Break Above 200-Day Moving Average - What's Next? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Teekay (NYSE:TK) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS TK|Teekay Corp Ltd|Price:11.280|Chg%:+0.090 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Teekay Corp Ltd (TK) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Teekay (NYSE:TK) Shares Gap Up - Here's Why - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $14.07. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.63. Engine's entry $14.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~79% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.14, quality 7.8/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $15.58 (+6.5%), stop $13.26 (−10.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $15.58 (+10.7% upside). Target $15.58 (+6.5%), stop $13.26 (−10.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.26.
Earnings expected to decline ~79% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Teekay Corporation Ltd. trades at a P/E of 7.1 (forward 34.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
9 analysts cover TK with a consensus score of 2.0/5.
What does Teekay Corporation Ltd. do?Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company...
Teekay Corporation Ltd. provides crude oil marine transportation and other marine services worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Tankers and Marine Services. It owns and operates crude oil and refined product tankers. The company also offers ship-to-ship support services; tanker commercial management operation services; technical management; and operational and maintenance marine services. It operates a fleet of 34 double-hull tankers. It serves energy and utility companies, oil traders, oil consumers and petroleum product producers, government agencies, and various other entities that depend upon marine transportation. The company was formerly known as Teekay Corporation and changed its name to Teekay Corporation Ltd. in October 2024. Teekay Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.