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TITNTitan Machinery Inc.Sell3.6·$17.82+1.83%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Titan Machinery's steep revenue decline, weak quality score, and failed momentum and asymmetry gates paint a challenging near-term picture, compounded by a recent history of earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Weak FundamentalsStable
  • Declining Revenue SteepStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueShortHigh Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.82: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and operate a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe and Australia. We have been an authorized dealer of... Read more

$17.82+9.7% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#19 of 19 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield45.98%
Stop $16.67Target $19.55(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$23.00+29.1%4 analysts
$19.55our TP
$17.82price
$23.00mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.82: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-54.9
Mkt Cap$427M
EV/EBITDA35.2
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE-9.1%
Rev Growth-12.1%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.1
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
8.9
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.19Resistance $22.40

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TITN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.82: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.67. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the TITN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.55 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $16.67. Stop-loss: $16.67.

What are the risks of investing in TITN?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is TITN overvalued or undervalued?

Titan Machinery Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -54.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TITN?

10 analysts cover TITN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Titan Machinery Inc. do?Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and...

Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and operate a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe and Australia. We have been an authorized dealer of CNH Industrial N.V. or its U.S. subsidiaries (collectively referred to in this Annual Report on Form 10-K (this "Form 10-K") as "CNH") since our formation in 1980.

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