Skip to main content
TITNTitan Machinery Inc.Sell3.9·$20.18+11.55%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Titan Machinery's steep revenue decline, weak quality score, and failed momentum and asymmetry gates paint a challenging near-term picture, compounded by a recent history of earnings misses.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Weak Fundamentals
  • Declining Revenue Steep
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueShortHigh Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Earnings in 4 days (2026-08-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.18: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and operate a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe and Australia. We have been an authorized dealer of... Read more

$20.18-3.1% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#20 of 20 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield41.73%
Stop $18.77Target $23.21(default +15%)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$23.00+14.0%4 analysts
$23.21our TP
$20.18price
$23.00mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.18: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.1% upside)
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-60.5
Mkt Cap$470M
EV/EBITDA36.4
Profit Mgn-2.3%
ROE-9.1%
Rev Growth-12.1%
Beta1.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$30+48.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -12.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
5.1
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
9.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.1
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 8.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.77Resistance $20.43

Price Targets

$19
$23
A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TITN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.18: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.77. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the TITN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.21 (-3.1% upside). Prior stop was $18.77. Stop-loss: $18.77.

What are the risks of investing in TITN?

Target reached (-3.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is TITN overvalued or undervalued?

Titan Machinery Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -60.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TITN?

10 analysts cover TITN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Titan Machinery Inc. do?Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and...

Titan Machinery Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, "Titan Machinery," the "Company," "we," or "our") own and operate a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe and Australia. We have been an authorized dealer of CNH Industrial N.V. or its U.S. subsidiaries (collectively referred to in this Annual Report on Form 10-K (this "Form 10-K") as "CNH") since our formation in 1980.

Related stocks: GIC (Global Industrial Company) · XMTR (Xometry, Inc.) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · SITE (SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.) · DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group, I)
Home Stocks TITN

Latest news

No recent news