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TET1 Energy Inc.Sell5.9·$2.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

T1 Energy is a pre-profitability electrical equipment company with a quality score of just 1.5 — below the minimum threshold — characterized by negative free cash flow, no reported margins, and a 78% single-customer concentration, though it carries a growth score of 10 out of 10 and a pending legal issue has been flagged by the rules engine.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Floor Quality Profile→Stable
  • Single Customer Concentration↑Improving
  • High Short Interest And Legal Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 31, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

T1 Energy Inc. (TE) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 10.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for utility-scale developers, and is constructing a 2.1-gigawatt solar cell fab in Milam County, Texas (G2_Austin). One customer represented 78% of total net sales in... Read more

$2.63+161.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 25 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-15.58%
Stop $2.45Analyst target $6.86(−13% haircut)A.R:R 10.7:1
Analyst consensus$7.89+200.0%9 analysts
$6.86Analyst target
$2.63price
$7.89mean
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 10.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — T1 Energy Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: one customer (78.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas manufacturing
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)46.1
Mkt Cap$788M
EV/EBITDA-16.5
Profit Mgn-38.5%
ROE-124.5%
Rev Growth88.4%
Beta2.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV130%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerone customer78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'one customer accounted for 78% of our total net sales'
  • HIGHGeographicTexas manufacturing
    10-K Item 1A: 'a substantial portion of our manufacturing facilities and installations were in Texas'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Several of our key raw materials and components are either single-sourced or sourced from a limited number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Development Officer Einar Kilde resigned effective April 22, 2026. Separation Agreement provides NOK 5.5 million severance paid in 12 monthly installments. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Tore Ivar Slettemoen (March 26, 2026) and Mingxing Lin (March 30, 2026) resigned from the Board, effective immediately. Both stated no disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -38.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.9
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 9.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.3
Beta
2.1
Debt Equity
2.2
Days To Cover
6.8
Put Call
9.1
High short interest justified: 32%High IV: 130%Concentration risks: 3 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 10.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.08Resistance $4.05

Price Targets

$2
$7
A.Upside+161.0%
A.R:R10.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.63: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 10.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 32%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.45. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TE stock price target?

Analyst target: $6.86 (+161.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.45. Stop-loss: $2.45.

What are the risks of investing in TE?

Concentration risk — Customer: one customer (78.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas manufacturing; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is TE overvalued or undervalued?

T1 Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 46.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TE?

17 analysts cover TE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $8.

What does T1 Energy Inc. do?T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for...

T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for utility-scale developers, and is constructing a 2.1-gigawatt solar cell fab in Milam County, Texas (G2_Austin). One customer represented 78% of total net sales in 2025; the company reported a net loss of $367.8 million and an accumulated deficit of $1,093.1 million at December 31, 2025.

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