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ATKRAtkore Inc.Sell5.3·$79.27+0.35%
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Atkore Inc. (ATKR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $79.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter security solutions (Safety & Infrastructure) for non-residential construction markets. Fiscal 2025 net sales were $2.85 billion, with approximately 88% from U.S.... Read more

$79.27+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.53%
IncomeYield1.67%Payout40.06%sustainable
Stop $73.72Target $88.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$84.33+6.4%3 analysts
$88.36our TP
$79.27price
$84.33mean
$88

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $79.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — Atkore Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
Target reached (-9.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.67
Dividend1.67%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$100+26.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States88%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 88%, 88%, and 90% respectively, of our net sales were sold to customers located in the United States'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers40%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, our top ten customers accounted for approximately 40% of net sales'
  • LOWCustomerSonepar USA
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2025, 2024 and 2023, one customer, Sonepar USA, accounted for more than 10% of sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
8.9

Unprofitable operations — net margin -4.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
2.5
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
8.9
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 167.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.20Resistance $90.16

Price Targets

$74
$88
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $79.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $73.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.36 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $73.72. Stop-loss: $73.72.

What are the risks of investing in ATKR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Target reached (-9.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ATKR overvalued or undervalued?

Atkore Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATKR?

10 analysts cover ATKR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Atkore Inc. do?Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter...

Atkore manufactures electrical conduit, cable, and fittings (Electrical segment) and metal framing and perimeter security solutions (Safety & Infrastructure) for non-residential construction markets. Fiscal 2025 net sales were $2.85 billion, with approximately 88% from U.S. customers; top-10 customers accounted for about 40% of net sales through electrical wholesale distributors and OEMs.

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