USA TODAY Co has strung together earnings beats and converts earnings to cash efficiently, but declining revenue, high leverage, and a valuation that has already reached its target temper the case for anything beyond holding.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Declining Revenue Despite Cash Quality→Stable
- Leverage Penalty And Quality Concerns→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Communication Services · Publishing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness).
USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA TODAY Media (the USA TODAY NETWORK of national and local U.S. publications), Newsquest (U.K. local news and magazines), and LocaliQ (digital marketing solutions... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About USA TODAY Co., Inc.
About USA TODAY Co., Inc.
USA TODAY Co. generated digital revenue of $1.1 billion in 2025, 46% of total revenue, across three segments: USA TODAY Media, comprising the USA TODAY NETWORK's national USA TODAY publication and roughly 215 local U.S. communities across 43 states; Newsquest, its U.K. subsidiary with about 220 local news and magazine brands; and LocaliQ, a digital marketing platform for small and medium-sized businesses. The USA TODAY NETWORK averaged 132 million monthly unique visitors and the company reported approximately 0.8 million print subscribers and 1.5 million paid digital-only subscriptions as of December 31, 2025. USA TODAY Media remains print-and-commercial-revenue-led, with that category still 62% of segment revenue despite the digital push.
The USA TODAY Media segment earns revenue through print and digital subscriptions, advertising, digital marketing services, commercial printing, and content syndication and licensing, with digital advertising, digital marketing services, digital-only subscriptions, and digital-other (including AI content partnerships) as its four tracked digital categories; digital revenue there was $654.2 million, 38% of segment revenue, in 2025. Newsquest generates a similar mix in the U.K., with digital revenue of $81.5 million, 34% of its segment revenue. LocaliQ sells a cloud-based marketing automation and AI-driven advertising optimization platform, including its Dash-powered Customer Center product, to local businesses, partly by reselling online media inventory acquired from third parties. Across the company, print circulation is shifting distribution channels: USA TODAY Co. converted five publications to U.S. Postal Service same-day mail delivery in 2025 and plans to expand that program in 2026 to cut costs versus independent third-party distribution.
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USA TODAY Co.'s capital structure is unusually concentrated in one lender: as of December 31, 2025 the company carried $729.5 million outstanding under its 2029 Term Loan Facility plus $24.1 million of 2027 Notes and $223.7 million of 2031 Notes, and the 10-K discloses that the majority of this indebtedness is held by a single creditor whose interests may diverge from stockholders' and who, to the company's knowledge, owns a majority of the outstanding 2031 Notes outright. If that creditor converts its 2031 Notes to common stock it could gain significant voting power, and separately the company's LocaliQ segment depends on online media inventory acquired from third-party platforms, so actions by either the debt-holding sponsor or those media suppliers sit outside management's direct control in ways that are unusual for a company of USA TODAY Co.'s scale.
See also: Communication Services · Publishing
From USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHcounterpartysingle creditor (majority of indebtedness)10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our indebtedness is held by one creditor, who may have interests that diverge from our interests and the interests of our stockholders.'
- MEDIUMcounterpartythird-party online media inventory (LocaliQ)10-K Item 1A: 'Our LocaliQ segment utilizes online media acquired from third parties and our business could be materially adversely affected if these companies take actions that are adverse to our interests or otherwise restrict our ability to do business.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.88. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.71 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $7.88. Stop-loss: $7.88.
Concentration risk — Counterparty: single creditor (majority of indebtedness); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).
USA TODAY Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 48.2 (forward 27.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover TDAY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $9.
What does USA TODAY Co., Inc. do?USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA...
USA TODAY Co. (formerly Gannett) is a diversified media and digital marketing company operating three segments: USA TODAY Media (the USA TODAY NETWORK of national and local U.S. publications), Newsquest (U.K. local news and magazines), and LocaliQ (digital marketing solutions for small and medium-sized businesses). Digital revenue reached $1.1 billion, or 46% of total revenue, in 2025, with the USA TODAY NETWORK reaching roughly 132 million average monthly unique visitors and about 1.5 million paid digital-only subscriptions outnumbering print subscriptions. The company carries $729.5 million