StepStone Group Inc. (STEP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the STEP stock price target?

Take-profit $62.10 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $49.91.

Q: Is STEP overvalued or undervalued?

StepStone Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about STEP?

14 analysts cover STEP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Financial Services · Asset Management

StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm managing approximately $709B in total capital ($189B AUM, $520B AUA) across private equity, infrastructure, private debt, and real estate via separately managed accounts, commingled funds, and advisory services. The... Read more

$53.65+15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#34 of 109 Asset Management

Stop $49.91Target $62.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1

Analyst target$71.38+33.0%8 analysts

$62.10our TP

$53.65price

$71.38mean

$91

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.65: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)21.1

Mkt Cap$6.6B

EV/EBITDA-5.3

Profit Mgn-30.7%

ROE-65.1%

Rev Growth73.0%

Beta1.31

Dividend2.80%

Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish

IV70%elevated

Max Pain$35-34.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.815%1.17

Quality1.915%0.28

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum4.510%0.45

Sentiment7.610%0.76

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup3.95%0.20

Risk Profile4.95%0.25

Catalyst7.35%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)5.91

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -30.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Roa

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Current Ratio

2.7

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

5.6

No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

3.3

Bollinger

3.5

52w Position

3.9

Gap

5.0

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

61 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.14Resistance $57.79

Price Targets

$50

$62

A.Upside+15.8%

A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-21 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is STEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.65: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $49.91. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.10 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $49.91. Stop-loss: $49.91.

What are the risks of investing in STEP?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is STEP overvalued or undervalued?

StepStone Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STEP?

14 analysts cover STEP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does StepStone Group Inc. do?StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm managing approximately $709B in total capital ($189B AUM,...