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SRRKScholar Rock Holding CorporatioSell5.4·$43.25
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Scholar Rock is a single-asset biotech whose investment case rests entirely on the commercial trajectory of apitegromab; elevated short interest of 17% and consecutive earnings misses signal the market harbors deep skepticism that the company can reach profitability.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Upside Valuation Buffer↑Improving
  • Apitegromab Pipeline Concentration↑Improving
  • Earnings Miss Streak↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio (SRRK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Scholar Rock is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing apitegromab, a selective anti-myostatin antibody for spinal muscular atrophy, with positive Phase 3 SAPPHIRE data reported in October 2024. The company has no approved products; its BLA received a Complete... Read more

$43.25+46.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#116 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-2.92%
Stop $40.22Analyst target $63.39(−10% haircut)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst consensus$70.44+62.9%16 analysts
$63.39Analyst target
$43.25price
$70.44mean
$84

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio

About Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio

Scholar Rock's lead candidate, apitegromab—the first selective latent myostatin inhibitor to achieve a statistically significant Phase 3 outcome in spinal muscular atrophy—reported positive SAPPHIRE trial results in October 2024. The company submitted a BLA to the FDA in January 2025 and a marketing authorization application to the EMA in March 2025. Scholar Rock received a Complete Response Letter from the FDA in September 2025 citing GMP deficiencies at a third-party fill-finish facility, delaying the anticipated U.S. commercial launch.

Scholar Rock plans to commercialize apitegromab for SMA, subject to regulatory approval, targeting initial launches in the U.S. and Europe beginning with Germany, supported by a U.S. customer-facing team of approximately 50 neurology and rare disease professionals established during 2025. An estimated 35,000 SMA patients globally have received an approved SMN-targeted treatment, defining the initial addressable market for apitegromab as a muscle-targeted complement. The company relies on a third-party fill-finish facility for apitegromab commercial manufacturing—the same facility that received an FDA Form 483 in July 2025 and an FDA warning letter in November 2025, with an OAI inspection classification that prompted the BLA's CRL. A subcutaneous formulation of apitegromab completed a Phase 1 healthy volunteer study; further development activities are ongoing. SRK-439, a subcutaneously administered anti-myostatin antibody in Phase 1, has topline data expected in the second half of 2026.

Show full overview

Apitegromab's path to U.S. approval depends on resolution of GMP deficiencies at the third-party fill-finish facility that received an OAI inspection classification and an FDA warning letter in November 2025. Scholar Rock completed a Type A meeting with the FDA in November 2025, but the 10-K notes no BLA resubmission can proceed until the facility resolves the cited deficiencies. The EMA's MAA review may also be affected, given the agency's mutual recognition agreement with the FDA, and the 10-K notes persistent non-compliance could, in the most adverse scenario, result in a negative CHMP opinion from the European Commission.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: apitegromab
Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party fill-finish facility
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-17.4
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA-12.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-167.8%
Rev Growth—
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineapitegromab
    10-K Item 1: 'Positive data from the successful Phase 3 SAPPHIRE study evaluating apitegromab in children and adults with SMA were reported in October 2024'
  • HIGHSupplierthird-party fill-finish facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'we received a CRL from the FDA citing observations identified during an FDA inspection of a third-party fill-finish facility'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
6.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 11 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.69Resistance $48.82

Price Targets

$40
$63
A.Upside+46.6%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.25: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 23%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $40.22. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRRK stock price target?

Analyst target: $63.39 (+46.6% upside). Prior stop was $40.22. Stop-loss: $40.22.

What are the risks of investing in SRRK?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: apitegromab; Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party fill-finish facility; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is SRRK overvalued or undervalued?

Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRRK?

24 analysts cover SRRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Scholar Rock Holding Corporatio do?Scholar Rock is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing apitegromab, a selective anti-myostatin antibody...

Scholar Rock is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing apitegromab, a selective anti-myostatin antibody for spinal muscular atrophy, with positive Phase 3 SAPPHIRE data reported in October 2024. The company has no approved products; its BLA received a Complete Response Letter from the FDA in September 2025 due to GMP deficiencies at a third-party fill-finish facility.

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