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SMRNuScale Power CorporationSell4.6·$10.01+4.56%
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NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.01: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

NuScale Power develops proprietary small modular reactor (SMR) technology centered on its 77 MWe NuScale Power Module, which received NRC design approval in 2020 and 2025. The company is pre-revenue with one active customer (RoPower in Romania) and one prospective strategic... Read more

$10.01+35.1% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#44 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-4.73%
Stop $9.20Target $13.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$15.36+53.4%14 analysts
$13.36our TP
$10.01price
$15.36mean
$7
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.01: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — NuScale Power Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: RoPower
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-14.8
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA-12.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-83.0%
Rev Growth-95.8%
Beta2.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerRoPower
    10-K Item 1: 'the Company has been working with one customer and one prospective customer. The customer is RoPower Nuclear S.A.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 1.01LOW
    NuScale entered into a Sales Agreement with UBS, B. Riley, Canaccord, and Tuohy Brothers for an at-the-market offering program to sell up to $1 billion in Class A common stock. Routine capital raise; no reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-26Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of a prior material definitive agreement reported simultaneously with new Sales Agreement. Full termination details not available in retrieved body; presumed prior ATM or financing arrangement replaced.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.8
Moat
3.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -868% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.6
Below 200-MA, MA slope -17.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)8K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.12Resistance $14.30

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+33.5%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.01: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.20. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.36 (+35.1% upside). Prior stop was $9.20. Stop-loss: $9.20.

What are the risks of investing in SMR?

Concentration risk — Customer: RoPower; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is SMR overvalued or undervalued?

NuScale Power Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMR?

22 analysts cover SMR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $15.

What does NuScale Power Corporation do?NuScale Power develops proprietary small modular reactor (SMR) technology centered on its 77 MWe NuScale Power Module,...

NuScale Power develops proprietary small modular reactor (SMR) technology centered on its 77 MWe NuScale Power Module, which received NRC design approval in 2020 and 2025. The company is pre-revenue with one active customer (RoPower in Romania) and one prospective strategic partner (ENTRA1); over $1.8B has been invested in development since 2007, including $578M from DOE.

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