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SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance GroHold6.2·$50.05-1.48%
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Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro (SKWD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.4%.

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group is a specialty P&C insurer writing commercial lines across nine underwriting divisions (Accident & Health, Agriculture, Construction, Global Property, Professional Lines, and others) on both E&S (59%) and admitted (41%) bases. The company... Read more

$50.05+5.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#7 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-12.71%
Stop $46.79Target $52.75(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$60.64+21.2%11 analysts
$52.75our TP
$50.05price
$60.64mean
$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.4%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth44.8%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV69%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved form of executive employment agreement; agreements entered with CEO Andrew Robinson and President John Burkhart on Feb 25, 2026. No officer departures; this is a compensatory arrangement update.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
5.4
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.50Resistance $51.66

Price Targets

$47
$53
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKWD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.4%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $52.75 (+5.4%), stop $46.79 (−7.0%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SKWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.75 (+5.4% upside). Target $52.75 (+5.4%), stop $46.79 (−7.0%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $46.79.

What are the risks of investing in SKWD?

Thin upside margin: 5.4%.

Is SKWD overvalued or undervalued?

Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SKWD?

19 analysts cover SKWD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro do?Skyward Specialty Insurance Group is a specialty P&C insurer writing commercial lines across nine underwriting...

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group is a specialty P&C insurer writing commercial lines across nine underwriting divisions (Accident & Health, Agriculture, Construction, Global Property, Professional Lines, and others) on both E&S (59%) and admitted (41%) bases. The company acquired Apollo Group Holdings (a Lloyd's of London platform) effective January 1, 2026, expanding into London market specialty niches.

Related stocks: SLDE (Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc.) · STC (Stewart Information Services Co) · PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation)
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