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SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) LimitedHold6.6·$13.48-2.46%
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Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America,... Read more

$13.48+17.0% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 6 Gambling
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.23%Payout35.23%sustainable
Stop $12.54Target $15.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$18.13+34.5%8 analysts
$15.77our TP
$13.48price
$18.13mean
$22

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$7.0B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE35.9%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.10
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$3-77.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 6.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.21Resistance $14.27

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+17.0%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts14
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$18

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SGHC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $15.77 (+17.0%), stop $12.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SGHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.77 (+17.0% upside). Target $15.77 (+17.0%), stop $12.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $12.54.

What are the risks of investing in SGHC?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SGHC overvalued or undervalued?

Super Group (SGHC) Limited trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SGHC?

14 analysts cover SGHC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Super Group (SGHC) Limited do?Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an...

Super Group (SGHC) Limited operates as an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company provides Betway, an online sports betting and casino offering; and Spin, a multi-brand online casino. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, and South/Latin America. Super Group (SGHC) Limited is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.

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