Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $86.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $86.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-12Recent Developments — Churchill Downs, Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated) dips 1.14% after Q4 2025 EPS trails consensus analyst estimates by 8%. - Net Debt/EB — Xã Vĩnh Công negative
- NEWS CHURCHILL DOWNS ($CHDN) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Churchill Downs’s (NASDAQ:CHDN) Q1 CY2026 Earnings Results: Revenue In Line With Expectations - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Churchill Downs (NASDAQ:CHDN) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $997.97 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS CHDN (Churchill Downs Incorporated) dips 1.14% after Q4 2025 EPS trails consensus analyst estimates by 8%. - Retail Trad — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $86.94 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $81.50. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $119.41 (+37.3% upside). Prior stop was $81.50. Stop-loss: $81.50.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Churchill Downs, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover CHDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $137.
What does Churchill Downs, Incorporated do?Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for...
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through the acquisition, development, and operation of live and historical racing entertainment venues, the growth of the online wagering businesses, and the acquisition, development, and operation of regional casino gaming prop...