Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $98.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $91.59. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $119.91 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $91.59. Stop-loss: $91.59.
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Churchill Downs, Incorporated trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover CHDN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $138.
What does Churchill Downs, Incorporated do?Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for...
Churchill Downs Incorporated ("CDI" or the "Company") has been creating extraordinary entertainment experiences for over 150 years, beginning with the Company's most iconic and enduring asset, the Kentucky Derby. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, CDI has expanded through the acquisition, development, and operation of live and historical racing entertainment venues, the growth of the online wagering businesses, and the acquisition, development, and operation of regional casino gaming prop...