Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.5 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 15.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.34
- ▸Attractively valued
SGHC · Why this verdict
Why Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 2.1 |
| Op margin | 8.0 |
| Net margin | 5.3 |
| Current ratio | 5.8 |
| Moat | 7.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 36%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
8.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.1 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.8 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.2 |
| Analyst rating | 7.9 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 34%
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $3,938,126 (0.056% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.8 |
| quality rank | 7.5 |
| growth rank | 6.7 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 3.8 |
| 52w position | 8.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.9 |
| days to cover | 5.7 |
| volatility | 1.8 |
| put call | 9.6 |
| implied vol | 2.2 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.6 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
- ▸High IV: 67%
- ▸Above max pain $3
Catalyst
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 123.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.8>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:54d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.80
Upside
+17.0%
Downside
9.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.6; weakest: Insider at 3.9. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.6, Value at 7.3, and Quality at 7.3; the weakest are Insider at 3.9, Catalyst at 4.2, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.3. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.80 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.