Skip to main content
SASeabridge Gold, Inc.Sell4.3·$26.70
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Seabridge Gold's 99% analyst upside and massive asymmetry ratio of 6.6 to 1 reflect its status as a long-dated gold development option, but four consecutive earnings misses and negative free cash flow underscore that this is a speculative asset rather than an operating business.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative Fcf Development Stage→Stable
  • Gold Price Sensitivity↓Deteriorating
  • Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Seabridge Gold, Inc. (SA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.70: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Seabridge Resources Inc. and changed its name to... Read more

$26.70+88.0% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#41 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.30%
Stop $24.83Analyst target $50.20(−15% haircut)A.R:R 6.9:1
Analyst consensus$59.05+121.2%4 analysts
$50.20Analyst target
$26.70price
$59.05mean
$72

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.70: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)133.5
P/E (Fwd)-95.4
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA-117.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth—
Beta1.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
7.2
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 14 days
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 6.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $23.30Resistance $28.40

Price Targets

$25
$50
A.Upside+88.0%
A.R:R6.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.70: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $24.83. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SA stock price target?

Analyst target: $50.20 (+88.0% upside). Prior stop was $24.83. Stop-loss: $24.83.

What are the risks of investing in SA?

Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is SA overvalued or undervalued?

Seabridge Gold, Inc. trades at a P/E of 133.5 (forward -95.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SA?

5 analysts cover SA with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $59.

What does Seabridge Gold, Inc. do?Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in...

Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Seabridge Resources Inc. and changed its name to Seabridge Gold Inc. in June 2002. Seabridge Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited)
Home › Stocks › SA

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga16d ago
Benzinga43d ago
Benzinga51d ago
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga87d agoAnalyst
Benzinga101d ago
Benzinga142d agoLegal
Benzinga175d ago