Value
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.6 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.6 |
| PEG | 7.5 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 19.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.91
- ▸Attractively valued
RVLV · Why this verdict
Why Revolve Group (RVLV) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.3 |
| ROA | 4.3 |
| Gross margin | 6.7 |
| Op margin | 1.8 |
| Net margin | 2.5 |
| Current ratio | 8.6 |
| FCF quality | 5.3 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 69% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
6.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.4 |
| EPS growth | 6.2 |
Momentum
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.7 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.5 |
| Volume | 0.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.4 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 44%
Insider
3.0/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $10,665,225 (0.722% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 3.3 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.9 |
| support resistance | 2.0 |
| 52w position | 3.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.0 |
| days to cover | 8.0 |
| volatility | 1.3 |
| put call | 9.2 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 4.5 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High IV: 89%
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.7>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.96
Upside
+25.2%
Downside
12.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.65>1.3, MCap $1.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Catalyst at 7.5) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.96 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Catalyst at 7.5, Sentiment at 7.4, and Value at 7.1; the weakest are Technical at 2.0, Insider at 3.0, and Peer rank at 3.8. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.96 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.