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RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationSell5.0·$200.45-6.02%
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Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $200.45, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions segments. With ~29,200 associates worldwide, revenue comes from... Read more

$200.45+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#38 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.54%
IncomeYield0.66%(5y avg 0.94%)Payout32.56%sustainable
Stop $186.42Target $218.85(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$251.56+25.5%9 analysts
$218.85our TP
$200.45price
$251.56mean
$300

Sell if holding. At $200.45, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.2%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.5
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA15.6
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.66%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV65%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Aamir Paul (President North America at Schneider Electric SE) named as new CEO of Regal Rexnord, effective no later than July 1, 2026, succeeding Louis V. Pinkham. Pinkham will remain as director until 2026 annual meeting. Clean handoff with successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Regal Rexnord extended CEO Louis V. Pinkham's tenure through June 30, 2026 to allow additional time to evaluate CEO candidates. Compensatory arrangement updated accordingly. Successor search ongoing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
4.4
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $180.80Resistance $219.61

Price Targets

$186
$219
A.Upside+9.2%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $200.45, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $186.42. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the RRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.85 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $186.42. Stop-loss: $186.42.

What are the risks of investing in RRX?

Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is RRX overvalued or undervalued?

Regal Rexnord Corporation trades at a P/E of 49.5 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRX?

15 analysts cover RRX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $252.

What does Regal Rexnord Corporation do?Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across...

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions segments. With ~29,200 associates worldwide, revenue comes from OEMs, distributors, and end-users across industrial, HVAC, data center, and aerospace markets.

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