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ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.Sell6.0·$109.43+2.88%
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Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $109.43: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas via HMA manufacturing, paving, and site development. Contract backlog was $3.0B... Read more

$109.43+19.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.16%
Stop $101.77Target $130.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$150.00+37.1%7 analysts
$130.50our TP
$109.43price
$150.00mean
$169

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $109.43: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded projects (65.0%)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.4
P/E (Fwd)27.8
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth34.6%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$70-36.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerstate DOTs43%
    10-K Item 1: 'projects performed for all DOTs accounted for 43.4% of our revenues'
  • HIGHCustomerpublicly funded projects65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated approximately 65% of our construction contract revenues from publicly funded construction projects and the sale of construction materials to public customers at the federal, state and local levels'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.2
Value Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
7.7
GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $104.26Resistance $134.75

Price Targets

$102
$131
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROAD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $109.43: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $101.77. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.50 (+19.3% upside). Prior stop was $101.77. Stop-loss: $101.77.

What are the risks of investing in ROAD?

Concentration risk — Customer: publicly funded projects (65.0%); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is ROAD overvalued or undervalued?

Construction Partners, Inc. trades at a P/E of 46.4 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROAD?

12 analysts cover ROAD with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Construction Partners, Inc. do?Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama,...

Construction Partners is a civil infrastructure company specializing in highway and road construction across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas via HMA manufacturing, paving, and site development. Contract backlog was $3.0B at September 30, 2025; ~65% of revenues from publicly funded projects.

Related stocks: CDLR (Cadeler A/S) · CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group I) · GVA (Granite Construction Incorporat) · ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.) · AGX (Argan, Inc.)
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