"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" (PHYS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the PHYS stock price target?

Take-profit $36.32 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $34.04.

Q: Is PHYS overvalued or undervalued?

"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" trades at a P/E of 2.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 6 hr ago (May 15, 2026, 1:51 AM ET)

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.26: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

$35.26+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10Peer score 4.4/10 · 7 Unknown

QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—

Stop $34.04Target $36.32(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.7

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap$16.9B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn—

ROE—

Rev Growth—

Beta—

DividendNone

Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value10.015%1.50

Quality2.515%0.38

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum3.610%0.36

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.410%0.44

Technical Setup6.15%0.30

Risk Profile8.15%0.41

Catalyst5.05%0.25

Overall (Σ contributions)5.38

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F

0.0

Moat

5.0

Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

5.5

Macd

7.7

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

45 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.05Resistance $37.06

Price Targets

$34

$36

A.Upside+3.0%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.12% of cap)

! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for PHYS.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PHYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $35.26: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $34.04. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.32 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $34.04. Stop-loss: $34.04.

What are the risks of investing in PHYS?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.3), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is PHYS overvalued or undervalued?

"Sprott Physical Gold Trust" trades at a P/E of 2.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Sell.