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Lionsgate Studios Corp (LION) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent... Read more

$12.50+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 7 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $11.77Target $12.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$12.90+3.2%9 analysts
$12.75our TP
$12.50price
$12.90mean
$8
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.4% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)56.5
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
Max Pain$4-68.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e)Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Volatility
2.7
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Elevated put/call: 2.41Above max pain $4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 6 days

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward P/E: 56.5xExpensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.93Resistance $13.01

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.50: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.41; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.77. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.75 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.77. Stop-loss: $11.77.

What are the risks of investing in LION?

Target reached (-11.4% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is LION overvalued or undervalued?

Lionsgate Studios Corp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 56.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LION?

16 analysts cover LION with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Lionsgate Studios Corp do?Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It...

Lionsgate (NYSE: LION) is one of the world's leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate's bold and entrepreneurial culture.

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