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PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate CapitHold6.4·$6.73
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PFLT screens as attractively valued but carries a hard death-cross technical block, three consecutive earnings misses, elevated leverage, and options/dividend signals that together argue for reducing exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation→Stable
  • Death Cross Hard Block↑Improving
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 24, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PennantPark Floating Rate Capit (PFLT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

PennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. is a Private Debt, business development company. It seeks to make secondary direct, debt, equity, and loan investments. The fund seeks to invest through floating rate loans in private or thinly traded or small market-cap, public middle... Read more

$6.73+23.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#40 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.54%
IncomeYield14.85%(5y avg 11.15%)Payout237.41%at-risk
Stop $6.41Analyst target $8.33(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst consensus$9.57+42.2%7 analysts
$8.33Analyst target
$6.73price
$9.57mean
$11

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 23, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$668M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn18.5%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.80
Dividend14.85%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
2.8
52w Position
5.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
5.4
Value Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.15Resistance $6.96

Price Targets

$6
$8
A.Upside+23.7%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts13
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$10

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-23 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PFLT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $6.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $8.33 (+23.7%), stop $6.41 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PFLT stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.33 (+23.7% upside). Analyst target $8.33 (+23.7%), stop $6.41 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $6.41.

What are the risks of investing in PFLT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PFLT overvalued or undervalued?

PennantPark Floating Rate Capit trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PFLT?

13 analysts cover PFLT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $10.

What does PennantPark Floating Rate Capit do?PennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. is a Private Debt, business development company. It seeks to make secondary...

PennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. is a Private Debt, business development company. It seeks to make secondary direct, debt, equity, and loan investments. The fund seeks to invest through floating rate loans in private or thinly traded or small market-cap, public middle market companies. It primarily invests in the United States and to a limited extent non-U.S. companies. The fund typically invests between $2 million and $20 million. The fund also invests in equity securities, such as preferred stock, common stock, warrants or options received in connection with debt investments or through direct investments. It primarily invests between $10 million and $50 million in investments in senior secured loans and mezzanine debt. It seeks to invest in companies not rated by national rating agencies. The companies if rated would be between BB and CCC under the Standard & Poor's system. The fund invests 30% is invested in non-qualifying assets like investments in public companies whose securities are not thinly traded or do not have a market capitalization of less than $250 million, securities of middle-market companies located outside of the United States, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, private equity, securities of public companies that are not thinly traded, and investment companies as defined in the 1940 Act. Under normal conditions, the fund expects atleast 80 percent of its net assets plus any borrowings for investment purposes to be invested in Floating Rate Loans and investments with similar economic characteristics, including cash equivalents invested in money market funds. It expects to represent 65 percent of its portfolio through senior secured loans. In case of floating rate loans, it holds investments for a period of three to ten years.

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