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KOCoca-Cola Company (The)Sell5.8·$80.83-2.16%
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Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. At $80.83, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%); Concentration risk — Product: sparkling soft drinks (69.0%).

The Coca-Cola Company is a total beverage company that owns or licenses nonalcoholic brands across sparkling soft drinks, water, sports, coffee, tea, juice and dairy categories, sold in more than 200 countries. It generates revenue mainly through concentrate operations—selling... Read more

$80.83+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.88%
IncomeYield2.57%(5y avg 2.89%)Payout64.78%
Stop $77.27Target $81.83(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$85.97+6.4%24 analysts
$81.83our TP
$80.83price
$85.97mean
$71
$92

Sell if holding. At $80.83, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%); Concentration risk — Product: sparkling soft drinks (69.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: sparkling soft drinks (69.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.0
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$355.5B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE43.4%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.35
Dividend2.57%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV29%low
Max Pain$33-59.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States84%
    10-K Item 1: 'Unit case volume outside the United States represented 84% of the Company’s worldwide unit case volume in 2025.'
  • HIGHProductsparkling soft drinks69%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sparkling soft drinks represented 69% of our worldwide unit case volume in both 2025 and 2024.'
  • MEDIUMProductTrademark Coca-Cola47%
    10-K Item 1: 'Trademark Coca-Cola accounted for 47% of our worldwide unit case volume in both 2025 and 2024.'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyfive largest bottling partners44%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, these five bottling partners combined represented 44% of our total worldwide unit case volume.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMexico, China, Brazil and India33%
    10-K Item 1: 'were Mexico, China, Brazil and India, which together accounted for 33% of our worldwide unit case volume.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Pe
4.9
Ps
5.4
Forward Pe
5.4
Forward P/E: 23.7xPEG: 4.23
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.32Resistance $83.50

Price Targets

$77
$82
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $80.83, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%); Concentration risk — Product: sparkling soft drinks (69.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $77.27. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.83 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $77.27. Stop-loss: $77.27.

What are the risks of investing in KO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (84.0%); Concentration risk — Product: sparkling soft drinks (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is KO overvalued or undervalued?

Coca-Cola Company (The) trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KO?

34 analysts cover KO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Coca-Cola Company (The) do?The Coca-Cola Company is a total beverage company that owns or licenses nonalcoholic brands across sparkling soft...

The Coca-Cola Company is a total beverage company that owns or licenses nonalcoholic brands across sparkling soft drinks, water, sports, coffee, tea, juice and dairy categories, sold in more than 200 countries. It generates revenue mainly through concentrate operations—selling beverage bases and syrups to a network of independent bottling partners—supplemented by finished-product operations in its Bottling Investments segment. The Coca-Cola system sold 33.8 billion unit cases in 2025, with sparkling soft drinks at 69% of volume.

Related stocks: MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · PEP (Pepsico, Inc.) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners ) · KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.)
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