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Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

The Coca-Cola Company is a global total beverage company with brands sold in 200+ countries through independent bottling partners and consolidated bottling operations. Beverages bearing company trademarks represent 2.2 billion of 65 billion daily servings worldwide. Revenue from... Read more

$78.41+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stop $75.71Target $78.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$85.15+8.6%23 analysts
$78.71our TP
$78.41price
$85.15mean
$71
$92

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.8
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$338.9B
EV/EBITDA22.2
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE43.4%
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta0.36
Dividend2.62%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV31%normal
Max Pain$45-42.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersole supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'Some of the raw materials and supplies used in the production of our products are available from a limited number of suppliers, or from a sole supplier, or are in short supply when seasonal demand is at its peak'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.55Resistance $80.32

Price Targets

$76
$79
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $75.71. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.71 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $75.71. Stop-loss: $75.71.

What are the risks of investing in KO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Is KO overvalued or undervalued?

Coca-Cola Company (The) trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KO?

35 analysts cover KO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Coca-Cola Company (The) do?The Coca-Cola Company is a global total beverage company with brands sold in 200+ countries through independent...

The Coca-Cola Company is a global total beverage company with brands sold in 200+ countries through independent bottling partners and consolidated bottling operations. Beverages bearing company trademarks represent 2.2 billion of 65 billion daily servings worldwide. Revenue from concentrate and syrup sales to bottlers.

Related stocks: MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · PEP (Pepsico, Inc.) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners ) · KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.)