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OSISOSI Systems, Inc.Sell5.0·$197.38-9.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OSI Systems has a strong earnings beat streak and 35% analyst upside, but weak growth, very low free cash flow conversion at 24% of net income, high short interest of 17%, and an overall score of 4.8 place it in a cautious hold position with limited upside conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Analyst Upside 35pctDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OSI Systems, Inc. (OSIS) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $197.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth.

We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare, defense and aerospace. Our company is incorporated in the State of Delaware and our principal office is located at 12525 Chadron Avenue, Hawthorne, California 90250.

$197.38+31.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#26 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.03%
Stop $183.45Target $259.38(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$298.14+51.1%7 analysts
$259.38our TP
$197.38price
$298.14mean
$320

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $197.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 28, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.2
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE17.2%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
3.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (4.0x avg) on selloff

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
6.6
Value Rank
7.3
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $186.50Resistance $240.90

Price Targets

$183
$259
A.Upside+31.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $197.38 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 28, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $183.45. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OSIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $259.38 (+31.5% upside). Prior stop was $183.45. Stop-loss: $183.45.

What are the risks of investing in OSIS?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is OSIS overvalued or undervalued?

OSI Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OSIS?

14 analysts cover OSIS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $298.

What does OSI Systems, Inc. do?We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare,...

We sell our products and provide related services in diversified markets, including homeland security, healthcare, defense and aerospace. Our company is incorporated in the State of Delaware and our principal office is located at 12525 Chadron Avenue, Hawthorne, California 90250.

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