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LYTSLSI Industries Inc.Sell6.3·$20.46
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

LSI Industries has a perfect 4-quarter EPS beat streak, but a negative free-cash-flow-to-earnings ratio, extreme insider selling, a valuation already at its price target, and weakening momentum all argue for caution despite the headline beat record.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Fcf Earnings Quality Flag→Stable
  • Extreme Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Sep 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LSI Industries Inc. (LYTS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.46: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting fixtures and controls plus retail display solutions such as signage, canopy and pump graphics, store fixtures and refrigerated displays, mainly for refueling and convenience stores, grocery and quick-service restaurant programs.... Read more

$20.46+24.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#7 of 28 Electronic Components
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.87%
IncomeYield0.98%(5y avg 1.33%)Payout29.85%sustainable
Stop $19.16Analyst target $25.50(−15% haircut)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst consensus$30.00+46.6%3 analysts
$25.50Analyst target
$20.46price
$30.00mean
$31

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.46: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About LSI Industries Inc.

About LSI Industries Inc.

LSI Industries generated $689.4 million of net sales in fiscal 2026, up from $573.4 million in fiscal 2025 and $469.6 million in fiscal 2024, with the Display Solutions Segment contributing $423.2 million, or 62%, and the Lighting Segment $266.2 million, or 38%. The company operates twenty three manufacturing facilities in North America, employs approximately 3,000 full-time and part-time people plus about 175 agency workers, and sells about 93% of its output inside the United States.

Lighting sells outdoor and indoor fixtures and controls through two revenue streams: project-based orders quoted to multi-site end users and routed through electrical distributors and agents, and standard products sold to stocking distributors, largely through manufacturer's sales representatives. Display Solutions sells signage, canopy and pump dispenser graphics, store fixtures, refrigerated food and beverage displays and digital menu boards mostly through a direct sales force, usually in program-driven rollouts that can span hundreds to thousands of sites. Acquisitions drove the segment's growth: Royston Group in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Canada's Best Holdings in fiscal 2025 and EMI Industries in fiscal 2024. Principal raw materials include steel, aluminum, LEDs, power supplies and graphics substrates, and the filing says the company is not dependent on any one supplier for critical component parts. Research and development cost $3.1 million in fiscal 2026. The filing says competitors in each segment differ, with some larger and better financed, particularly in Lighting.

Show full overview

End-market concentration frames the exposure. The filing states a concentration of sales in the refueling and convenience store and grocery markets, where petroleum industry disruptions can curtail retail refurbishing and expansion, and where grocery consolidation and new entrants may change purchasing decisions at one or more larger customers. Display Solutions growth from $207.2 million in fiscal 2024 to $423.2 million in fiscal 2026 rests partly on acquired businesses, so integration of Royston and its predecessors may influence results. Commissioned sales representatives are critical to Lighting, and turnover can reduce regional sales for several months.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From LSI Industries Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — LSI Industries Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T12:43:34Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Display Solutions Segment (62.0%)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.5
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$763M
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth51.3%
Beta0.48
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductDisplay Solutions Segment62%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Display Solutions Segment, which represented 62 % of our fiscal 2026 net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrefueling and convenience store and grocery markets
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has a concentration of sales in the refueling and convenience store and grocery markets.'
  • LOWGeographicoutside the United States7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 7% of consolidated net sales are outside the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and CFO James Galeese notified the Board on Aug 19, 2026 of his planned retirement effective Aug 31, 2027, with no disagreement cited. He remains CFO for about a year to support a transition; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-25Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee adopted the FY2027 Long Term Incentive Plan effective Aug 19, 2026 under the 2019 Omnibus Award Plan, with RSU and PSU targets for the CEO, CFO and General Counsel. Routine compensation action; no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.0
Net Margin
1.6
Roe
2.5
Roa
3.3
Operating Margin
4.2
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
6.9
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -29% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dINSIDER 0.25%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.32Resistance $21.51

Price Targets

$19
$26
A.Upside+24.6%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.46: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.16. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LYTS stock price target?

Analyst target: $25.50 (+24.6% upside). Prior stop was $19.16. Stop-loss: $19.16.

What are the risks of investing in LYTS?

Concentration risk — Product: Display Solutions Segment (62.0%); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is LYTS overvalued or undervalued?

LSI Industries Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LYTS?

10 analysts cover LYTS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does LSI Industries Inc. do?LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting fixtures and controls plus retail display solutions such as signage,...

LSI Industries makes non-residential lighting fixtures and controls plus retail display solutions such as signage, canopy and pump graphics, store fixtures and refrigerated displays, mainly for refueling and convenience stores, grocery and quick-service restaurant programs. Fiscal 2026 net sales were $689.4 million, 62% from Display Solutions and 38% from Lighting, with about 7% outside the United States. It positions itself as a single-source supplier for multi-site rollouts.

Related stocks: LPTH (LightPath Technologies, Inc.) · KOPN (Kopin Corporation) · PLXS (Plexus Corp.) · DAKT (Daktronics, Inc.) · CTS (CTS Corporation)
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