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OKLOOklo Inc.Sell4.6·$57.60-0.45%
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Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.60: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality.

Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses (15-75 MWe) under a build-own-operate model, targeting first deployment in 2028 at Idaho National Laboratory. The company also develops nuclear fuel recycling and... Read more

$57.60+38.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#7 of 7 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.00%
Stop $53.47Target $79.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$88.63+53.9%19 analysts
$79.77our TP
$57.60price
$88.63mean
$14
$140

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.60: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — Oklo Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-69.0
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA-45.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-8.9%
Rev Growth
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV97%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded to eleven directors; David Christian, Derek Kan, David Park, and Dr. Mark Peters appointed April 10, 2026. Michael Thompson appointed Lead Independent Director. All independent under NYSE standards.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.01Resistance $73.86

Price Targets

$53
$80
A.Upside+38.5%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OKLO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.60: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.44; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $53.47. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OKLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.77 (+38.8% upside). Prior stop was $53.47. Stop-loss: $53.47.

What are the risks of investing in OKLO?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is OKLO overvalued or undervalued?

Oklo Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -69.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OKLO?

29 analysts cover OKLO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Oklo Inc. do?Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses...

Oklo Inc. is a pre-revenue advanced nuclear energy company developing the Aurora line of fast fission powerhouses (15-75 MWe) under a build-own-operate model, targeting first deployment in 2028 at Idaho National Laboratory. The company also develops nuclear fuel recycling and fabrication technology and, through subsidiary Atomic Alchemy, radioisotope production; it has signed power agreements with Meta, Switch (12 GW), and others but has no operating powerhouses or binding PPAs yet.

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