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Organon & Co. (OGN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%).

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and Follistim fertility) and general medicines (biosimilars and established brands) across 140+ countries. The company generated approximately $4.6 billion of... Read more

$13.30-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $12.37Target $13.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$11.25-15.4%4 analysts
$13.12our TP
$13.30price
$11.25mean
$8
$14

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-3.5%
Beta
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$1-92.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside United States)74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, we generated $4.6 billion in revenues outside the United States, representing approximately 74% of our total revenues'
  • MEDIUMSupplierSamsung Bioepis, Henlius and Biothera biosimilar suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on our commercialization agreements with Samsung Bioepis, Henlius and Biothera for the successful development and manufacture of our biosimilars products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.1
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
8.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.6
Value Rank
8.4
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.82Resistance $13.39

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Prior stop was $12.37. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the OGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.12 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $12.37. Stop-loss: $12.37.

What are the risks of investing in OGN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Is OGN overvalued or undervalued?

Organon & Co. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGN?

16 analysts cover OGN with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Organon & Co. do?Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and...

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with 70+ products in women's health (including Nexplanon contraceptive and Follistim fertility) and general medicines (biosimilars and established brands) across 140+ countries. The company generated approximately $4.6 billion of revenues outside the United States in 2025, representing 74% of total revenues, sold through wholesalers, hospitals, and managed care providers.

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