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OGNOrganon & Co.Sell5.6·$13.40+0.11%
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Organon & Co. (OGN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with over 70 products across women's health (NEXPLANON, NuvaRing), biosimilars (BRUKINSA, Hadlima, Renflexis), and established brands (Zetia, Singulair, Nasonex), generating $6.2 billion in 2025 revenues. Approximately 74% of revenues... Read more

$13.40-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.05%
IncomeYield0.60%Payout8.60%sustainable
Stop $13.30Target $13.21(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$11.25-16.0%4 analysts
$13.21our TP
$13.40price
$11.25mean
$8

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)3.7
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth-3.5%
Beta1.54
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$4-70.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.6
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 60.0%
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.28Resistance $13.48

Price Targets

$13
$13
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $13.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.30. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.21 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $13.30. Stop-loss: $13.30.

What are the risks of investing in OGN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.5): -1.5.

Is OGN overvalued or undervalued?

Organon & Co. trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 3.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGN?

13 analysts cover OGN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Organon & Co. do?Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with over 70 products across women's health (NEXPLANON, NuvaRing),...

Organon & Co. is a global healthcare company with over 70 products across women's health (NEXPLANON, NuvaRing), biosimilars (BRUKINSA, Hadlima, Renflexis), and established brands (Zetia, Singulair, Nasonex), generating $6.2 billion in 2025 revenues. Approximately 74% of revenues were generated outside the United States across 140+ countries.

Related stocks: GRFS (Grifols, S.A.) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation)
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