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Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food products in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers frozen fish products, including fish fingers, coated fish, and natural fish; ready-to-cook... Read more

$9.41+21.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 26 Packaged Foods
Stop $9.10Target $11.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$13.13+39.5%6 analysts
$11.42our TP
$9.41price
$13.13mean
$15

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 39%
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)5.1
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth-2.6%
Beta0.72
Dividend7.00%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C5.83bearish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$20+112.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
7.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Obv
2.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.38Resistance $10.02

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+21.4%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOMD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $11.42 (+21.4%), stop $9.10 (−3.4%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.42 (+21.3% upside). Target $11.42 (+21.4%), stop $9.10 (−3.4%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $9.10.

What are the risks of investing in NOMD?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NOMD overvalued or undervalued?

Nomad Foods Limited trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NOMD?

12 analysts cover NOMD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Nomad Foods Limited do?Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food...

Nomad Foods Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes a range of frozen food products in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company offers frozen fish products, including fish fingers, coated fish, and natural fish; ready-to-cook vegetable products, such as peas and spinach; and frozen poultry and meat products, comprising nuggets, grills, and burgers. It also provides meal products that contain ready-to-cook noodles, pasta, lasagna, pancakes, and other ready-made meals; ice creams, such as in-home and out-of-home ice creams; and other products comprising soups, pizzas, bakery goods, and meat substitutes. The company sells its products to supermarkets and food retail chains primarily under the Birds Eye, Green Cuisine, iglo, Findus, Aunt Bessie's, Goodfella's, Frikom, Ledo, La Cocinera, and Belviva brand names. Nomad Foods Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Woking, the United Kingdom.

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