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NKXNuveen California AMT-Free QualHold5.3·$11.09
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This is a high-quality, strong-margin holding that has cleared a technical breakout, but it sits near its 52-week high with weak growth and a take-profit level that no longer offers attractive upside from here.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margin Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Weak Growth Profile→Stable
  • Stretched Near 52 Week High→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual (NKX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Asset Management, LLC and Nuveen Fund Advisors LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of California,... Read more

$11.09+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#155 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield7.79%(5y avg 5.54%)Payout212.09%at-risk
Stop $10.65Default target $12.75A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$625M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn48.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.65
Dividend7.79%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
7.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
1.0
Obv
1.5
Rsi
2.8
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
8.0
Overbought bear rally (RSI 73)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.23Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for NKX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NKX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Default target $12.75 (+15.0%), stop $10.65 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NKX stock price target?

Default target: $12.75 (+15.0% upside). Default target $12.75 (+15.0%), stop $10.65 (−4.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $10.65.

What are the risks of investing in NKX?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NKX overvalued or undervalued?

Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual do?Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen...

Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Asset Management, LLC and Nuveen Fund Advisors LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of California, United States. The fund primarily invests in undervalued municipal securities and other related investments the income which are exempt from regular federal and California income taxes and are rated Baa, BBB or higher with an average maturity of 20.17 years. It employs fundamental analysis with a bottom-up approach to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Standard & Poor's (S&P) California Municipal Bond Index and the S&P National Municipal Bond Index. It was formerly known as Nuveen California AMT-Free Municipal Income Fund. Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund was formed on November 21, 2002 and is domiciled in the United States.

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