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CYDChina Yuchai International LimiSell6.0·$53.45-5.50%
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China Yuchai International Limi (CYD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai... Read more

$53.45+1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield109.96%
IncomeYield0.94%(5y avg 5.42%)Payout26.55%sustainable
Stop $49.71Target $54.49(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$64.11+19.9%4 analysts
$54.49our TP
$53.45price
$64.11mean
$46
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.9% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-0.2
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE6.4%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.39
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$35-34.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.31Resistance $61.48

Price Targets

$50
$54
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.71. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.49 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $49.71. Stop-loss: $49.71.

What are the risks of investing in CYD?

Target reached (1.9% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is CYD overvalued or undervalued?

China Yuchai International Limi trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYD?

8 analysts cover CYD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $64.

What does China Yuchai International Limi do?China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses,...

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications. The HLGE is engaged in hospitality and property development activities. The company provides diesel engines comprising 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high-horsepower marine and power generator engines; natural gas engines, hydrogen combustion engines, methanol combustion engines, diesel power generators, power generator sets, engine components and parts, diesel engine parts, and remanufacturing services; as well as plug in hybrid engines, range extenders, power generation powertrains, hybrid powertrains, electric drive axle powertrain, and fuel cell systems. It also offers repair, maintenance, training and skills-enhancement training. It distributes its engines directly to auto original equipment manufacturers, agents, and retailers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Singapore.

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