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NINiSource IncSell5.2·$46.33+1.05%
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NiSource Inc (NI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers across six states through Columbia Operations (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland) and NIPSCO Operations (northern Indiana). Revenue is substantially... Read more

$46.33+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.11%
IncomeYield2.62%(5y avg 3.19%)Payout56.72%sustainable
Stop $44.67Target $47.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$51.36+10.9%14 analysts
$47.09our TP
$46.33price
$51.36mean
$43
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$22.0B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn14.1%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.55
Dividend2.62%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.2
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.09Resistance $48.05

Price Targets

$45
$47
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $44.67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.09 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $44.67. Stop-loss: $44.67.

What are the risks of investing in NI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is NI overvalued or undervalued?

NiSource Inc trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NI?

24 analysts cover NI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does NiSource Inc do?NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers...

NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers across six states through Columbia Operations (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland) and NIPSCO Operations (northern Indiana). Revenue is substantially all rate-regulated; it also executed the ADS Contract in 2025 for customized electric service to a data center customer through its GenCo subsidiary. NiSource derives substantially all revenues and earnings from its regulated utility subsidiaries.

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