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NGVTIngevity CorporationSell5.6·$71.98+1.49%
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Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5.

Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive emissions control, $606.9M revenue), Performance Chemicals (asphalt pavement and road markings, $400.5M), and Advanced Polymer Technologies... Read more

$71.98+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.02%
Stop $67.98Target $72.67(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$85.50+18.8%4 analysts
$72.67our TP
$71.98price
$85.50mean
$92

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — Ingevity Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn-10.9%
ROE-114.1%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
4.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.96Resistance $73.19

Price Targets

$68
$73
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.98 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $67.98. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NGVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.67 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $67.98. Stop-loss: $67.98.

What are the risks of investing in NGVT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5.

Is NGVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ingevity Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NGVT?

10 analysts cover NGVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Ingevity Corporation do?Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated...

Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive emissions control, $606.9M revenue), Performance Chemicals (asphalt pavement and road markings, $400.5M), and Advanced Polymer Technologies ($160.2M). It sells primarily to automotive OEM supply chains and pavement contractors. The company is executing a Strategic Portfolio Review to divest its APT segment and road markings business, focusing future operations on Performance Materials and Pavement Technologies.

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