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NGLNGL ENERGY PARTNERS LPSell5.0·$16.54+5.62%
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NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NGL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined products/renewables, and water solutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids... Read more

$16.54+11.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#34 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.66%
Stop $15.38Target $18.42(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.29% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn-4.5%
ROE-51.7%
Rev Growth-13.3%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV100%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.8
Gross Margin
2.2
Moat
3.0
Roa
3.4
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.2
Value Rank
8.8
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.12Resistance $18.80

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+11.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.29% of cap)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.54: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.38. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NGL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.42 (+11.4% upside). Prior stop was $15.38. Stop-loss: $15.38.

What are the risks of investing in NGL?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.29% of cap).

Is NGL overvalued or undervalued?

NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NGL?

6 analysts cover NGL with a consensus score of 3.8/5.

What does NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP do?NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas...

NGL Energy Partners LP engages in the transportation, storage, blending, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas liquids, refined products/renewables, and water solutions in the United States. It operates through three segments: Water Solutions, Crude Oil Logistics, and Liquids Logistics. The Water Solutions segment transports, treats, recycles, and disposes produced and flowback water generated from crude oil and natural gas production; aggregates and sells recovered crude oil; disposes solids, such as tank bottoms, drilling fluid, and muds, as well as performs truck and frac tank washouts; and sells produced water for reuse and recycle, and brackish non-potable water. The Crude Oil Logistics segment purchases crude oil from producers and marketers and transports it to refineries for resale at pipeline injection stations, storage terminals, barge loading facilities, rail facilities, refineries, and other trade hubs; and provides storage, terminaling, and transportation services through pipelines and storage tanks. The Liquids Logistics segment offers natural gas liquids to commercial, retail, and industrial customers across the United States and Canada through its five terminals, third-party storage and terminal facilities, nine common carrier pipelines and a fleet of leased railcars. This segment also provides services for marine exports of butane through its facility located in Chesapeake, Virginia; and owns a propane pipeline in Michigan. NGL Energy Holdings LLC serves as the general partner of the company. NGL Energy Partners LP was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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