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NATNordic American Tankers LimitedBuy Wait7.1·$7.95
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Nordic American Tankers shows 104% revenue growth and an attractive valuation, but a perfect 4-for-4 earnings miss record with an average negative surprise of 97%, a negative news modifier, and a stock already above its resistance target all point to a thesis where reported growth has not translated into shareholder returns.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Not Converting→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss Pattern↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Asymmetry Above Resistance→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $7.55. Price sits above the model's entry target of $7.55; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities... Read more

$7.95-9.1% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#8 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.31%
IncomeYield13.58%(5y avg 5.62%)Payout105.08%at-risk
Entry $7.55(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $7.08Analyst target $7.22(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$8.50+6.9%2 analysts
$7.95price
$8.50mean
$7
$10

Wait for pullback to $7.55. Price sits above the model's entry target of $7.55; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 27, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn33.3%
ROE25.7%
Rev Growth97.5%
Beta-0.52
Dividend13.58%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C13.00bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.30Resistance $8.88

Price Targets

A.Upside-9.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-27 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $7.55. Price sits above the model's entry target of $7.55; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-9.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $7.22 reached (−9.1%), stop $7.08 (−12.3%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the NAT stock price target?

Analyst target $7.22 reached (−9.1% from $7.95); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $7.22 reached (−9.1%), stop $7.08 (−12.3%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.08.

What are the risks of investing in NAT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is NAT overvalued or undervalued?

Nordic American Tankers Limited trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NAT?

8 analysts cover NAT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Nordic American Tankers Limited do?Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and...

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities requiring crude oil transportation services. The company was formerly known as Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited and changed its name to American Tankers Limited in June, 2011. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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