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NATNordic American Tankers LimitedSell6.1·$5.44+3.42%
NAT · Why this verdict

Why Nordic American Tankers (NAT) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.6/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.3
P/S8.0
EV/EBITDA4.8
Fwd P/E6.9
PEG10.0
  • Forward P/E: 18.3x
  • PEG: 0.02
  • Attractively valued

Quality

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.8
ROA3.1
Gross margin5.4
Op margin10.0
Net margin8.2
Current ratio10.0
FCF quality0.0
Moat5.6
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 16%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -183% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 104% YoY

Momentum

3.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD3.9
OBV1.0
MA position4.0
Volume2.3
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target6.6
erm sentiment3.7

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.0
quality rank3.5
growth rank8.6
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.5
support resistance6.3
52w position7.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest5.4
days to cover5.8
volatility4.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
debt equity5.5
  • High IV: 113%
  • Above max pain $1

Catalyst

2.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm2.5
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
  • Dividend: 1633.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-2
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:80d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.3<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.8=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.78
Upside
-5.4%
Downside
6.9%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.1B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Catalyst at 2.5. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 7.6, and Technical at 6.3; the weakest are Catalyst at 2.5, Momentum at 3.3, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.78 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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