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MTZMasTec, Inc.Sell6.1·$181.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MasTec delivers extraordinary 34% revenue growth and a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 15%, but quality metrics remain below acceptable thresholds and momentum is insufficient to support a new position.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth Leadership→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Perfect→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $181.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power delivery, pipeline, and civil infrastructure through five operating segments. The company serves telecom carriers, utilities, and energy companies primarily... Read more

$181.00+79.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#13 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.40%
Stop $168.33Analyst target $324.13(−10% haircut)A.R:R 7.7:1
Analyst consensus$360.14+99.0%21 analysts
$324.13Analyst target
$181.00price
$360.14mean
$518

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $181.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — MasTec, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:34Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.9
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$14.5B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth23.4%
Beta1.84
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C13.46bearish
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.5
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
3.5
Current Ratio
5.2
Roe
5.4
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -12% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.9
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 7.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $164.31Resistance $233.21

Price Targets

$168
$324
A.Upside+79.1%
A.R:R7.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $181.00: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 7.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.46; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $168.33. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTZ stock price target?

Analyst target: $324.13 (+79.1% upside). Prior stop was $168.33. Stop-loss: $168.33.

What are the risks of investing in MTZ?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is MTZ overvalued or undervalued?

MasTec, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.9 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTZ?

27 analysts cover MTZ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $360.

What does MasTec, Inc. do?MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power...

MasTec provides engineering, construction, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, clean energy, power delivery, pipeline, and civil infrastructure through five operating segments. The company serves telecom carriers, utilities, and energy companies primarily through multi-year master service agreements, employing approximately 36,000 workers across 810 North American locations as of December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: AGX (Argan, Inc.) · IESC (IES Holdings, Inc.) · STRL (Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.) · ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.) · FIX (Comfort Systems USA, Inc.)
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