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Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two segments: Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenue, including cat litter and personal care) and Engineered Solutions (47%, including high-temperature technologies and... Read more

$74.55+0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $70.43Target $75.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$87.25+17.0%4 analysts
$75.18our TP
$74.55price
$87.25mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta
Dividend0.67%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierChina magnesia suppliers57%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company has purchased approximately 57% of its magnesia requirements from sources in China over the past five years'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02LOW
    Jonathan J. Hastings (SVP, M&A and Strategy) stepping down effective April 30, 2026; will continue as Corporate Strategy Advisor to the Chairman and CEO. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Alison A. Deans and Franklin L. Feder notified the Company on March 18, 2026 they will retire from the Board at the May 20, 2026 annual meeting. No reason cited beyond end of term.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.95Resistance $76.71

Price Targets

$70
$75
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $75.18 (+0.8%), stop $70.43 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.18 (+0.8% upside). Target $75.18 (+0.8%), stop $70.43 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $70.43.

What are the risks of investing in MTX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: China magnesia suppliers (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Is MTX overvalued or undervalued?

Minerals Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MTX?

8 analysts cover MTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $87.

What does Minerals Technologies Inc. do?Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two...

Minerals Technologies is a specialty minerals company and the world's largest bentonite producer operating two segments: Consumer & Specialties (53% of revenue, including cat litter and personal care) and Engineered Solutions (47%, including high-temperature technologies and environmental/infrastructure products). Operations are global with ~48% of 2025 sales outside the U.S.

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