Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Healthcare · Biotechnology
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.09: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.
Moderna is an mRNA medicine company with three commercial products: Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE (COVID vaccines) and mRESVIA (RSV vaccine for adults). Total revenue was $1.9 billion in 2025, largely from COVID vaccine sales, while the pipeline of 35 programs spans infectious disease,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.09: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Moderna, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Reported Earlier, Moderna And University Of Oxford Receive UK MHRA Authorization To Begin Phase 1/2 Study Of mRNA Cancer — benzinga Jun 9, 2026 positive
- NEWS B of A Securities Maintains Underperform on Moderna, Raises Price Target to $34 — benzinga Jun 8, 2026 negative
- NEWS U.S. State Dept Announces Nearly $38M In Additional Funding Toward The Department's Ongoing Ebola Response Efforts — benzinga Jun 5, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Moderna Reports Strong 5-Year Cancer Vaccine Data, Expands CEPI Partnership; Stock Falls — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 positive
- NEWS Moderna And Merck Present 5-Year Data For Intismeran Autogene in Combination With KEYTRUDA In Patients With High-Risk St — benzinga Jun 1, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductCOVID vaccines10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, we achieved total revenue of $1.9 billion, largely from sales of our COVID vaccines.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.09: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $47.44. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $51.06 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $47.44. Stop-loss: $47.44.
Concentration risk — Product: COVID vaccines; Target reached (-23.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Moderna, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover MRNA with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $43.
What does Moderna, Inc. do?Moderna is an mRNA medicine company with three commercial products: Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE (COVID vaccines) and mRESVIA...
Moderna is an mRNA medicine company with three commercial products: Spikevax and mNEXSPIKE (COVID vaccines) and mRESVIA (RSV vaccine for adults). Total revenue was $1.9 billion in 2025, largely from COVID vaccine sales, while the pipeline of 35 programs spans infectious disease, oncology, and rare disease.