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MIRMMirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Hold6.2·$99.34-0.20%
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Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MIRM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: one specialty pharmacy; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Mirum Pharmaceuticals markets three FDA-approved rare disease medicines: LIVMARLI for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS and PFIC, CTEXLI for CTX (approved Feb 2025), and CHOLBAM for bile acid synthesis disorders. Commercial revenue comes from direct US sales; pipeline includes... Read more

$99.34+26.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#21 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.75%
Stop $92.39Target $126.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$144.93+45.9%14 analysts
$126.09our TP
$99.34price
$144.93mean
$185

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: one specialty pharmacy; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: one specialty pharmacy
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-178.0
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA-119.8
Profit Mgn-140.2%
ROE-335.8%
Rev Growth43.3%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.30bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$140+40.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyone specialty pharmacy
    10-K Item 1: 'We are commercializing Ctexli and Cholbam in the United States through one specialty pharmacy.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.9
Growth Rank
6.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 7.1>=5.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $90.59Resistance $110.25

Price Targets

$92
$126
A.Upside+26.9%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts19
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$145

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MIRM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $99.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: one specialty pharmacy; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $126.09 (+26.9%), stop $92.39 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MIRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.09 (+26.9% upside). Target $126.09 (+26.9%), stop $92.39 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $92.39.

What are the risks of investing in MIRM?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: one specialty pharmacy; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MIRM overvalued or undervalued?

Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -178.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MIRM?

19 analysts cover MIRM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Mirum Pharmaceuticals markets three FDA-approved rare disease medicines: LIVMARLI for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS and...

Mirum Pharmaceuticals markets three FDA-approved rare disease medicines: LIVMARLI for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS and PFIC, CTEXLI for CTX (approved Feb 2025), and CHOLBAM for bile acid synthesis disorders. Commercial revenue comes from direct US sales; pipeline includes volixibat (PSC/PBC Phase 2b) and brelovitug (HDV Phase 3, acquired via Bluejay in Jan 2026).

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