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MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.Sell5.8·$15.52-1.15%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MEI shows a technical breakout and a surprisingly strong Piotroski F-Score despite a below-floor overall quality reading, but recent earnings misses and a failed asymmetry gate temper conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Floor Despite PiotroskiStable
  • Earnings Momentum DeterioratingStable
  • Asymmetry Gate FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Methode Electronics, Inc. (MEI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.52: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.13; Below-average business quality.

Methode Electronics designs, engineers and manufactures mechatronic products - power distribution components, user interface parts, LED lighting, and sensors - for OEMs and tiered suppliers across automotive, industrial, and interface end markets, with fiscal 2026 net sales... Read more

$15.52+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 29 Electronic Components
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.33%
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 3.26%)Payout36.36%sustainable
Stop $14.43Target $16.43(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$19.33+24.6%3 analysts
$16.43our TP
$15.52price
$19.33mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.52: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.13; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Methode Electronics, Inc.

About Methode Electronics, Inc.

Methode Electronics splits fiscal 2026 net sales 51.4% Industrial, 45.9% Automotive, and 2.7% Interface, supplying power distribution components, user-interface parts, LED lighting, and sensors to OEMs and tiered suppliers across transportation, data center, and construction equipment markets. The company's five largest customers made up approximately 41% of consolidated net sales, including one customer at 10.9%, and roughly 93.9% of its 6,650-person global workforce is based outside the United States.

Methode sells primarily to automotive and commercial-vehicle OEMs and their tiered suppliers under blanket purchase orders and production releases rather than firm-volume contracts, meaning customers can adjust order volumes without guaranteeing minimum purchases. Its Industrial segment, now the larger of the two core businesses after overtaking Automotive in fiscal 2026, supplies busbars, PowerRail power-cabling systems, and lighting used in aerospace, data centers, and telecommunications, while the Interface segment - shrinking after the fiscal 2026 divestiture of the dataMate business - serves data networking and appliance touch-panel markets. Raw materials, including application-specific integrated circuits, copper coil and bar stock, and plastic molding resins, are sourced from multiple suppliers rather than sole sources, limiting single-supplier exposure. Sales to customers outside the U.S. represented a substantial portion of fiscal 2026 net sales, with significant operations in Belgium, Canada, China, Egypt, Finland, India, Malta, Mexico, and the United Kingdom.

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Methode's Mexico and Canada manufacturing operations are directly exposed to the USMCA's 2026 scheduled review: the agreement could be extended, or, absent agreement among the three governments, expire in 2036 subject to earlier termination by any member country. The 10-K states that more stringent rules-of-origin requirements or reduced preferential tariff treatment under a renegotiated USMCA could increase production costs and reduce competitiveness for the roughly 93.9% of Methode's workforce based outside the U.S., adding a trade-policy variable on top of the automotive and data-center demand cycles that already drive segment performance.

See also: Technology · Electronic Components

From Methode Electronics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 8, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.2
Mkt Cap$543M
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn-3.5%
ROE-5.2%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.47
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish
IV103%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our five largest customers accounted for approximately 41% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2026.'
  • LOWCustomersingle customer at 10.9%11%
    10-K Item 1: 'One customer represented more than 10% of our consolidated net sales at 10.9%.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to customers outside of the U.S. represented a substantial portion of our fiscal 2026 net sales.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Operating Margin
2.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
8.1
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.31Resistance $20.38

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-08 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.52: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.13; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.43. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.43 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.43. Stop-loss: $14.43.

What are the risks of investing in MEI?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is MEI overvalued or undervalued?

Methode Electronics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MEI?

7 analysts cover MEI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Methode Electronics, Inc. do?Methode Electronics designs, engineers and manufactures mechatronic products - power distribution components, user...

Methode Electronics designs, engineers and manufactures mechatronic products - power distribution components, user interface parts, LED lighting, and sensors - for OEMs and tiered suppliers across automotive, industrial, and interface end markets, with fiscal 2026 net sales split 45.9% Automotive, 51.4% Industrial, and 2.7% Interface. The company's five largest customers accounted for approximately 41% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2026, with one customer at 10.9%, and roughly 93.9% of its global workforce of about 6,650 employees is located outside the United States.

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